Predicción para las Elecciones 2024
Por Enrique Diez Piñeyro Vargas
Concluyen las campañas políticas en todo lo largo y ancho del territorio nacional bajo la terrible sombra de ser el proceso electoral con una cifra récord que se tenga registro en la era moderna de nuestra nación en asesinatos de candidatas y candidatos. Lo anterior debe de ser tomado en cuenta como una situación crítica y alarmante, misma que preocupa y nos obliga reflexionar en el sentido de que estamos haciendo mal como sociedad, ya que esta ola de violencia ha rebasado por completo a los tres órdenes de gobierno desde hace mucho tiempo y son incapaces de salvaguardar la integridad de los mexicanos.
Así mismo, vivimos un proceso electoral con campañas políticas cuyas características fueron el despilfarro, las descalificaciones, los insultos, los ataques personales entre contendientes y el vacío absoluto de propuestas de interés para el votante. Estas acciones únicamente siguen abonando en el desprecio de un inmenso porcentaje de la población, cuyos temas deberían ser de gran interés en una sociedad que busca perfiles con preparación y aptitudes en el servicio público en quienes se postulen a un cargo de elección popular.
Otro aspecto negativo durante este proceso ha sido el débil y opaco desempeño de las autoridades electorales, ya que atestiguamos innumerables violaciones a la ley en material electoral por parte de todos los partidos políticos y sus abanderados. Los órganos encargados en regular y sancionar pasaron a ser un espectador más de las múltiples violaciones desde los tiempos de pre campañas hasta el pasado día miércoles. Sin duda, un tema que será materia de un análisis minucioso en próximas colaboraciones.
En relación a las proyecciones para la jornada electoral a punto de comenzar, en el ámbito nacional vemos que quien saldrá triunfadora en la carrera por la presidencia de la República será la doctora Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, arropada por todo el aparato del gobierno federal, los veintitrés estados gobernados por sus aliados y la alta popularidad del Presidente de la República, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, en muchos segmentos de la población. Sin dejarnos llevar por números arrojados en la lluvia de encuestas, creemos que la doctora Sheinbaum obtendrá el triunfo con una diferencia que podrá oscilar entre los diez o catorce puntos porcentuales.
La señora Xóchitl Gálvez obtendrá una votación muy alta en muchos puntos del país como lo es la zona metropolitana de la Ciudad de México, la zona conurbada de Monterrey y muchas otras importantes ciudades del país. Para desgracia de Xóchitl, nunca pudo quitarse el lastre que le representa los partidos políticos que la abanderan, mismos que intentó minimizar o negar, que al final nada le abonaron a su proyecto presidencial. En el caso del candidato Jorge Álvarez Máynez, nada sobresaliente que comentar.
En la carrera por los escaños en la Cámara de Senadores y las curules en el palacio legislativo de San Lázaro, podremos atestiguar una lucha más pareja entre las coaliciones que compiten por estos espacios parlamentarios. Morena y sus aliados salen con muchas posibilidades de concretar una mayoría en la Cámara Alta, gracias a su estrategia del Plan C implementada en doce estados de la República. Es decir, Morena podrá obtener la mayoría requerida consolidando las senadurías de mayoría relativa y posicionando la primera minoría – el segundo lugar – con sus aliados pero separados en la boleta a Senador al menos en nueves de los doce estados antes citados.
En relación a la Cámara de Diputados atestiguaremos un resultado más apretado con el cual ningún partido político por si solo obtendrá la mayoría simple y es aquí donde los grandes definidores se perfilan a ser los partidos satélites que en esta ocasión arropan a Morena en su coalición. Por otra parte, en casos como la Ciudad México, los estados de Veracruz, Guanajuato y Yucatán, las condiciones están propicias para que la Coalición Fuerza y Corazón por México pueda dar la gran sorpresa y levantarse con el triunfo. En el caso del estado de Jalisco, todo se enfila a que vuelva a ser pintado de naranja. De darse estos escenarios, sin duda será un resultado alentador para el PAN y el PRI a pesar del desastre que han representado como oposición.
Para concluir, en el ámbito local podremos observar que el partido Morena no tendrá problema en obtener un resultado positivo en favor de la doctora Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo. Se alzarán con el triunfo en las Senadurías, en seis de los ocho distritos federales y la mayoría en el congreso local. Por falta de tiempo, dejaremos para la próxima colaboración el análisis con los resultados en las principales ciudades del estado, en los cuales, sin duda serán mucho más cerrados que las expectativas que se tienen al momento ocasionado por el triunfalismo y la soberbia de sus participantes.
Que nadie se quede sin votar. Salgamos a ejercer nuestro derecho ciudadano y no dejemos que otros decidan por nosotros. ¡Salgamos a Votar!
Sweet blog! I found it while browsing on Yahoo News. Do you have any suggestions on how to get listed in Yahoo News? I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there! Many thanks
Normally I do not read post on blogs, but I would like to say that this write-up very forced me to try and do it! Your writing style has been amazed me. Thanks, quite nice post.
Perfectly pent subject matter, thanks for information. «Necessity is the mother of taking chances.» by Mark Twain.
so much good info on here, : D.
Thank you, I have recently been searching for info about this subject for a long time and yours is the best I have discovered till now. But, what concerning the bottom line? Are you positive about the source?
Great post, you have pointed out some fantastic points, I also think this s a very superb website.
Hi , I do believe this is an excellent blog. I stumbled upon it on Yahoo , i will come back once again. Money and freedom is the best way to change, may you be rich and help other people.
I?¦ve recently started a blog, the information you offer on this website has helped me tremendously. Thank you for all of your time & work.
Great ?V I should certainly pronounce, impressed with your website. I had no trouble navigating through all tabs as well as related information ended up being truly easy to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it in the least. Reasonably unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or anything, site theme . a tones way for your client to communicate. Excellent task..
Hi there this is kinda of off topic but I was wanting to know if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding skills so I wanted to get advice from someone with experience. Any help would be greatly appreciated!
he blog was how do i say it… relevant, finally something that helped me. Thanks
Thank you for the good writeup. It if truth be told was a amusement account it. Look complex to far delivered agreeable from you! By the way, how can we keep in touch?
Your article helped me a lot, is there any more related content? Thanks!
I’ve recently started a website, the information you offer on this website has helped me tremendously. Thanks for all of your time & work.
Nearly all of whatever you articulate is astonishingly accurate and that makes me ponder why I hadn’t looked at this with this light before. Your article truly did switch the light on for me as far as this topic goes. Nevertheless at this time there is 1 factor I am not necessarily too comfortable with and while I try to reconcile that with the actual main theme of the point, let me see exactly what all the rest of the visitors have to say.Very well done.
There are some interesting closing dates in this article but I don’t know if I see all of them middle to heart. There’s some validity however I will take hold opinion till I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we want extra! Added to FeedBurner as nicely
Can I just say what a relief to find someone who actually knows what theyre talking about on the internet. You definitely know how to bring an issue to light and make it important. More people need to read this and understand this side of the story. I cant believe youre not more popular because you definitely have the gift.
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you.
Your article helped me a lot, is there any more related content? Thanks!
I don’t think the title of your article matches the content lol. Just kidding, mainly because I had some doubts after reading the article. https://accounts.binance.com/pt-BR/register-person?ref=YY80CKRN
It is the best time to make some plans for the future and it is time to be happy. I’ve read this post and if I could I wish to suggest you few interesting things or tips. Perhaps you can write next articles referring to this article. I desire to read more things about it!
As a Newbie, I am permanently browsing online for articles that can benefit me. Thank you
I’d must verify with you here. Which is not something I usually do! I get pleasure from studying a put up that can make individuals think. Additionally, thanks for permitting me to remark!
Great ?V I should definitely pronounce, impressed with your site. I had no trouble navigating through all tabs as well as related info ended up being truly easy to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it at all. Reasonably unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or anything, website theme . a tones way for your customer to communicate. Excellent task..
Thank you for your sharing. I am worried that I lack creative ideas. It is your article that makes me full of hope. Thank you. But, I have a question, can you help me?
I am impressed with this web site, rattling I am a big fan .
clomiphene nz prescription where can i buy cheap clomiphene tablets buy generic clomid tablets where to buy clomiphene without dr prescription how to get generic clomiphene without dr prescription can you buy cheap clomiphene without a prescription buy cheap clomiphene tablets
This is the compassionate of literature I truly appreciate.
This is the tolerant of advise I recoup helpful.
order azithromycin 500mg pill – oral zithromax purchase metronidazole generic
buy rybelsus 14 mg – buy semaglutide 14 mg generic cyproheptadine sale
I have been exploring for a bit for any high quality articles or blog posts in this kind of house . Exploring in Yahoo I at last stumbled upon this site. Studying this info So i am glad to exhibit that I’ve an incredibly just right uncanny feeling I found out exactly what I needed. I such a lot surely will make certain to do not omit this website and give it a look on a constant basis.
F*ckin’ tremendous things here. I am very glad to see your article. Thanks a lot and i’m looking forward to contact you. Will you kindly drop me a e-mail?
buy motilium 10mg sale – purchase sumycin pills cyclobenzaprine price
inderal 10mg cost – order methotrexate 5mg sale buy methotrexate 5mg for sale
cheap amoxil without prescription – buy ipratropium combivent usa
I believe you have mentioned some very interesting details, regards for the post.
order augmentin 375mg pills – https://atbioinfo.com/ buy ampicillin generic
Howdy very nice site!! Man .. Beautiful .. Superb .. I’ll bookmark your web site and take the feeds also?KI’m glad to seek out numerous useful info here within the publish, we need work out extra strategies on this regard, thank you for sharing. . . . . .
nexium pills – https://anexamate.com/ where can i buy esomeprazole
warfarin 5mg over the counter – cou mamide cozaar 50mg cost
order meloxicam 7.5mg generic – mobo sin buy meloxicam 15mg for sale
Fantastic site. Lots of useful info here. I am sending it to several pals ans also sharing in delicious. And obviously, thanks in your effort!
I am no longer positive where you’re getting your info, however good topic. I must spend some time studying more or figuring out more. Thank you for great info I used to be searching for this information for my mission.
buy deltasone 10mg for sale – https://apreplson.com/ deltasone tablet
buy erectile dysfunction medication – https://fastedtotake.com/ buy ed pills
buy amoxil pills for sale – amoxicillin canada cheap amoxicillin
buy generic fluconazole for sale – buy diflucan 200mg buy fluconazole no prescription
order cenforce 100mg pills – https://cenforcers.com/ cenforce oral
how long does it take cialis to start working – https://ciltadgn.com/ what is the difference between cialis and tadalafil
buy ranitidine sale – click buy zantac 150mg for sale
purchase cialis online – https://strongtadafl.com/ purchasing cialis
I am in point of fact enchant‚e ‘ to gleam at this blog posts which consists of tons of of use facts, thanks for providing such data. https://gnolvade.com/
how safe is it to order viagra online – buy viagra cialis levitra maxifort sildenafil 100mg
I am in fact enchant‚e ‘ to glance at this blog posts which consists of tons of useful facts, thanks towards providing such data. https://ursxdol.com/provigil-gn-pill-cnt/
Palatable blog you have here.. It’s severely to espy elevated status article like yours these days. I really recognize individuals like you! Go through care!! cheap azithromycin
The reconditeness in this serving is exceptional. https://prohnrg.com/product/priligy-dapoxetine-pills/
This is the kind of glad I get high on reading. stromectol 3 mg posologie
More posts like this would force the blogosphere more useful. https://ondactone.com/product/domperidone/
I am in point of fact thrilled to glance at this blog posts which consists of tons of profitable facts, thanks representing providing such data.
buy tetracycline generic
The thoroughness in this draft is noteworthy. https://cse.google.co.ao/url?sa=t&url=https://roomstyler.com/users/adipe
https://t.me/s/Official_1win_kanal/1303
Официальный Telegram канал 1win Casinо. Казинo и ставки от 1вин. Фриспины, актуальное зеркало официального сайта 1 win. Регистрируйся в ван вин, соверши вход в один вин, получай бонус используя промокод и начните играть на реальные деньги.
https://t.me/s/Official_1win_kanal/4841
This is the kind of scribble literary works I positively appreciate. http://www.zgqsz.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=846483
Hey there, You have performed a fantastic job. I will definitely digg it and individually suggest to my friends. I am sure they’ll be benefited from this site.
I always was interested in this topic and still am, thanks for putting up.
I conceive this website has some real wonderful information for everyone. «It is easy enough to define what the Commonwealth is not. Indeed this is quite a popular pastime.» by Elizabeth II.
This design is steller! You definitely know how to keep a reader entertained. Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved to start my own blog (well, almost…HaHa!) Great job. I really enjoyed what you had to say, and more than that, how you presented it. Too cool!
Very nice post and right to the point. I don’t know if this is in fact the best place to ask but do you people have any ideea where to hire some professional writers? Thanks 🙂
order dapagliflozin 10 mg pills – janozin.com dapagliflozin cost
Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to say that I’ve really enjoyed browsing your blog posts. In any case I’ll be subscribing to your feed and I hope you write again very soon!
Hello there! Do you know if they make any plugins to help with Search Engine Optimization? I’m trying to get my blog to rank for some targeted keywords but I’m not seeing very good success. If you know of any please share. Kudos!
Great post, I think blog owners should learn a lot from this website its very user genial.
I’m really inspired with your writing talents and also with the layout in your blog. Is that this a paid topic or did you customize it your self? Either way keep up the excellent high quality writing, it’s uncommon to peer a nice blog like this one today..
orlistat drug – https://asacostat.com/# xenical cost
Nice post. I was checking continuously this weblog and I’m inspired! Very useful information particularly the remaining part 🙂 I handle such info a lot. I used to be looking for this particular info for a long time. Thank you and best of luck.
Thanks recompense sharing. It’s top quality. http://fulloyuntr.10tl.net/member.php?action=profile&uid=3192
It’s really a great and helpful piece of information. I’m glad that you shared this helpful info with us. Please stay us informed like this. Thanks for sharing.
so much wonderful information on here, : D.
I was suggested this web site by my cousin. I’m not sure whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my problem. You’re amazing! Thanks!
I would like to thnkx for the efforts you’ve put in writing this web site. I’m hoping the same high-grade site post from you in the upcoming as well. In fact your creative writing skills has inspired me to get my own website now. Actually the blogging is spreading its wings fast. Your write up is a great example of it.
hey there and thank you for your information – I have definitely picked up something new from right here. I did however expertise some technical issues using this site, since I experienced to reload the site many times previous to I could get it to load correctly. I had been wondering if your web host is OK? Not that I am complaining, but slow loading instances times will sometimes affect your placement in google and could damage your high-quality score if ads and marketing with Adwords. Anyway I’m adding this RSS to my email and can look out for a lot more of your respective intriguing content. Make sure you update this again very soon..
Thankyou for this post, I am a big big fan of this site would like to proceed updated.
You really make it seem so easy together with your presentation however I to find this topic to be actually something which I feel I’d never understand. It sort of feels too complicated and very wide for me. I’m having a look ahead to your next publish, I will attempt to get the cling of it!
F*ckin¦ awesome things here. I am very satisfied to see your post. Thanks a lot and i am having a look forward to touch you. Will you please drop me a e-mail?
I am glad to be one of several visitants on this outstanding internet site (:, thanks for posting.
Yay google is my world beater assisted me to find this great web site! .
I got good info from your blog
Would you be interested in exchanging hyperlinks?
But a smiling visitor here to share the love (:, btw outstanding layout. «The price one pays for pursuing a profession, or calling, is an intimate knowledge of its ugly side.» by James Arthur Baldwin.
Excellent post. I used to be checking continuously this weblog and I’m impressed! Very useful information specifically the closing section 🙂 I handle such information much. I used to be looking for this certain info for a long time. Thanks and good luck.
Hey! Would you mind if I share your blog with my myspace group? There’s a lot of folks that I think would really enjoy your content. Please let me know. Cheers
I like this site so much, bookmarked.
Hello, you used to write great, but the last few posts have been kinda boring… I miss your great writings. Past several posts are just a little bit out of track! come on!
Just what I was searching for, regards for posting.
I wanted to thank you for this great read!! I definitely enjoying every little bit of it I have you bookmarked to check out new stuff you post…
I have been browsing online more than 3 hours today, but I by no means found any fascinating article like yours. It?¦s pretty worth sufficient for me. Personally, if all webmasters and bloggers made excellent content as you probably did, the web will be a lot more helpful than ever before.
I found your blog site on google and test a number of of your early posts. Continue to keep up the excellent operate. I just additional up your RSS feed to my MSN Information Reader. Searching for ahead to reading extra from you later on!…
Hi , I do believe this is an excellent blog. I stumbled upon it on Yahoo , i will come back once again. Money and freedom is the best way to change, may you be rich and help other people.
Would you be involved in exchanging links?
I just could not depart your site prior to suggesting that I actually enjoyed the standard info a person provide for your visitors? Is gonna be back often to check up on new posts
Wonderful goods from you, man. I have understand your stuff previous to and you’re just too wonderful. I really like what you have acquired here, really like what you are stating and the way in which you say it. You make it entertaining and you still take care of to keep it smart. I cant wait to read much more from you. This is really a tremendous site.
Hello! I know this is kind of off topic but I was wondering which blog platform are you using for this site? I’m getting tired of WordPress because I’ve had problems with hackers and I’m looking at options for another platform. I would be fantastic if you could point me in the direction of a good platform.
Glad to be one of the visitors on this awful internet site : D.
I have read some good stuff here. Definitely value bookmarking for revisiting. I surprise how much attempt you set to create the sort of wonderful informative web site.
Great line up. We will be linking to this great article on our site. Keep up the good writing.
It’s really a nice and useful piece of info. I’m glad that you shared this useful info with us. Please keep us up to date like this. Thanks for sharing.
Wow that was odd. I just wrote an incredibly long comment but after I clicked submit my comment didn’t appear. Grrrr… well I’m not writing all that over again. Regardless, just wanted to say fantastic blog!